Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 8.083748e-05 0.000096 0.000112 0.000131 0.000152 0.000174 0.000199
2025-02-02 6.226039e-05 0.000082 0.000105 0.000133 0.000165 0.000201 0.000244
2025-02-09 5.059014e-05 0.000072 0.000098 0.000131 0.000170 0.000216 0.000271
2025-02-16 4.430387e-05 0.000068 0.000098 0.000136 0.000184 0.000241 0.000311
2025-02-23 3.803467e-05 0.000062 0.000094 0.000137 0.000191 0.000257 0.000339
2025-03-02 3.057089e-05 0.000054 0.000087 0.000132 0.000191 0.000264 0.000357
2025-03-09 2.556500e-05 0.000049 0.000082 0.000130 0.000194 0.000273 0.000378
2025-03-16 2.177521e-05 0.000045 0.000079 0.000130 0.000198 0.000286 0.000401
2025-03-23 1.906295e-05 0.000042 0.000077 0.000131 0.000205 0.000300 0.000427
2025-03-30 1.612406e-05 0.000039 0.000074 0.000129 0.000208 0.000310 0.000448
2025-04-06 1.323301e-05 0.000035 0.000070 0.000126 0.000208 0.000316 0.000463
2025-04-13 1.193975e-05 0.000033 0.000070 0.000129 0.000216 0.000333 0.000493
2025-04-20 9.176949e-06 0.000029 0.000064 0.000125 0.000214 0.000337 0.000508
2025-04-27 7.690557e-06 0.000027 0.000063 0.000125 0.000220 0.000351 0.000536
2025-05-04 6.219331e-06 0.000024 0.000060 0.000124 0.000223 0.000362 0.000559
2025-05-11 5.661734e-06 0.000024 0.000061 0.000129 0.000235 0.000384 0.000598
2025-05-18 4.767016e-06 0.000022 0.000060 0.000130 0.000241 0.000399 0.000627
2025-05-25 3.465948e-06 0.000019 0.000055 0.000125 0.000238 0.000401 0.000638
2025-06-01 2.660854e-06 0.000017 0.000053 0.000123 0.000240 0.000409 0.000658
2025-06-08 2.085965e-06 0.000016 0.000051 0.000123 0.000243 0.000420 0.000681
2025-06-15 1.705865e-06 0.000015 0.000050 0.000124 0.000249 0.000434 0.000710
2025-06-22 1.275309e-06 0.000013 0.000048 0.000122 0.000251 0.000443 0.000731
2025-06-29 8.711911e-07 0.000012 0.000045 0.000120 0.000250 0.000448 0.000746